Why I Believe Paul Will Re-Offend, And Terry Won’t

 

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My mentor, Sandra Rogers, PhD, OTR/L, FAOTA, asked me:

 

“In your blog titled: Those Who Will Re-offend And Those Who Will Stay Out, you imply why you feel like Paul will re-offend and Terry will stay out but you do not explicitly say why – can you tell me explicitly why? Or is it just a feeling?”

 

Its definitely just a feeling. However, I can explicitly explain why I have such feelings.

I feel Paul will come back because he’s in here gambling, using drugs, giving dirty UA’s, getting tattoo write ups, getting caught with tattoo guns and ink, and engaging in a constant stream of misconduct. He’s in prison and his activities are still criminal. He hasn’t changed one bit. Couple that with the fact that he’s been in and out of prison 4 times, and it’s easy to see he’ll be back for a 5th time.

But wait! There’s more! Upon his release, he’s going right back to the same environment that fosters his sad lifestyle. He’ll be hanging with the same bad crowd, doing the same bad things. Remember this post. Paul gets out soon. When he comes back, I’ll let you all know. It’ll be within 3 years of today.

As for Terry, I have a feeling he’ll stay out because he’s engaged in positive meaningful activities. He doesn’t engage in criminal activities. While in prison, he’s earned several degrees and has completed just about every program offered. He applies his newly learned skills on a daily basis. His actions are positive and productive. He gets along well with staff and inmates.

But wait! There’s more. Upon his release he’ll be going to a new environment that’s secure and structured. An environment that’s free of alcohol, drugs, and criminal culture.

Then there’s the statist factor that says people who serve 20 consecutive years or more, are less likely to come back.

Terry was 16 when he came in. He’ll be 36 when he gets out. His brain is completely developed now, he’s a different person today opposed to back when he was 16. He’s nurtured his mind with positive, productive material. And most of all, he has a strong will to live a happy life among the law abiding citizens of this country.

I would be shocked if Terry came back.
I would be shocked if Paul didn’t come back.

If you look closely at inmates and examine their daily activities, and how they conduct themselves, it’s relatively easy to predict who will come back and who will stay out.

 

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Steven Jennings

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3 thoughts on “Why I Believe Paul Will Re-Offend, And Terry Won’t

  1. Kimberly says:

    I hope you are right about Terry, but wrong about Paul. You have backed up your reasoning with observations about the behavior and attitude of each one, so I think you should consider that (a) you are probably right and (b) it’s likely more that just a feeling. You are using evidence to support your gut feeling. Good idea!

    Liked by 1 person

  2. srogers6682 says:

    Thank you for clarifying that, very interesting, and not surprising that you can predict who will re-offend. It makes a sad case for incarceration though doesn’t it? Paul is basically just honing his criminal behavior in prison, basically suggesting that using prison is a big fail for him and the public.

    Liked by 1 person

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